Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 2.320570 2.652807 3.016951 3.445882 3.937597 4.484014 5.137783
2025-08-03 1.786747 2.229202 2.758818 3.440391 4.295780 5.335808 6.699547
2025-08-10 1.484014 1.965227 2.576952 3.413467 4.530823 5.976460 7.996486
2025-08-17 1.261999 1.754225 2.411362 3.355665 4.683052 6.490323 9.151508
2025-08-24 1.132781 1.642342 2.352227 3.417427 4.983080 7.212195 10.649185
2025-08-31 1.027294 1.546417 2.297655 3.469405 5.261972 7.918727 12.188538
2025-09-07 0.921614 1.435281 2.204661 3.447614 5.419530 8.450927 13.510791
2025-09-14 0.823474 1.323076 2.095435 3.384218 5.498568 8.860554 14.672332
2025-09-21 0.746540 1.234947 2.012665 3.350322 5.615006 9.332143 15.973425
2025-09-28 0.677093 1.151076 1.927051 3.300247 5.694933 9.744697 17.209127
2025-10-05 0.664927 1.161200 1.996173 3.515870 6.244692 10.998055 20.034045
2025-10-12 0.621920 1.113457 1.961649 3.546158 6.469696 11.704235 21.945255
2025-10-19 0.589791 1.086216 1.967847 3.664438 6.893270 12.858904 24.920746
2025-10-26 0.541362 1.025128 1.908941 3.660220 7.096617 13.645953 27.326669
2025-11-02 0.495730 0.963760 1.842071 3.631459 7.246198 14.342075 29.632460
2025-11-09 0.451524 0.900058 1.763535 3.569871 7.321444 14.896792 31.713240
2025-11-16 0.426558 0.871478 1.749779 3.635681 7.661193 16.019665 35.129198
2025-11-23 0.402830 0.842709 1.732299 3.691068 7.984008 17.141293 38.682481
2025-11-30 0.373699 0.799525 1.680687 3.667848 8.133928 17.908514 41.536332
2025-12-07 0.343455 0.750768 1.612326 3.600295 8.177260 18.444755 43.922378
2025-12-14 0.318852 0.711737 1.560770 3.564178 8.286800 19.140126 46.771857
2025-12-21 0.295182 0.672347 1.504441 3.510822 8.349669 19.733450 49.446725
2025-12-28 0.294625 0.685478 1.566724 3.740581 9.111015 22.061288 56.764972